Wondering who you should start this week — J.K. Dobbins or Keaton Mitchell? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Keaton Mitchell — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.3 points. The matchup leans Keaton Mitchell (DEN allow the 7th-most RB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 5
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
J.K. Dobbins
@ LAC
9.1
11th
5.7
536
healthy
Keaton MitchellSTART
vs DEN
9.4
7th · soft
10
495
healthy
RBs vs LAC recently: Ashton Jeanty 6.3 pts (W2) · James Cook 19.4 pts (W3) · Emanuel Wilson 24 pts (W4).
RBs vs DEN recently: Bhayshul Tuten 12.2 pts (W2) · Kyren Williams 15.8 pts (W3) · Christian McCaffrey 13 pts (W4).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.3 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
J.K. Dobbins has the higher floor (3.7) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Keaton Mitchell has the higher ceiling (17.5) — the play if you need points.
J.K. Dobbins is steady — about 18% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Keaton Mitchell is steady — about 11% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
J.K. Dobbins faces LAC, 11th most generous to RBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
J.K. Dobbins carries the higher trade value — 536 against 495 (a 8% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving J.K. Dobbins gets the most.
Momentum: J.K. Dobbins -784 and Keaton Mitchell +383 over the last 30 days.