Wondering who you should start this week — Josh Downs or Khalil Shakir? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Josh Downs — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.5 points. The matchup leans Josh Downs (JAX allow the 3rd-most WR points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 8
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Josh DownsSTART
@ JAX
9.8
3rd · soft
6.7
620
healthy
Khalil Shakir
vs BAL
9.3
9th
12.5
450
healthy
WRs vs JAX recently: Tee Higgins 15.7 pts (W4) · Darius Cooper 13.1 pts (W5) · Jaylin Noel 16.7 pts (W6).
WRs vs BAL recently: Drake London 11.8 pts (W5) · Jerry Jeudy 6.9 pts (W6) · Tee Higgins 20.8 pts (W7).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.5 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Josh Downs has the higher floor (4.2) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Josh Downs has the higher ceiling (17.2) — the play if you need points.
Josh Downs is steady — about 21% less volatile week to week than a typical WR projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Khalil Shakir is steady — about 17% less volatile week to week than a typical WR projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Josh Downs faces JAX, 3rd most generous to WRs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Josh Downs carries the higher trade value — 620 against 450 (a 27% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Josh Downs gets the most.
Momentum: Josh Downs -727 and Khalil Shakir +266 over the last 30 days.