Justin Herbert · Kyler Murray · 2026 week 3

Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray?

Wondering who you should start this week — Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Kyler Murray — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.6 points. The matchup leans Kyler Murray (TB allow the 17th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 3	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Justin Herbert	@ BUF	16.9	6th · soft	12.1	792	healthy
Kyler Murray START	@ TB	17.5	17th	0.6	534	healthy

QBs vs BUF recently: C.J. Stroud 16.5 pts (W1) · Jared Goff 29.8 pts (W2).

QBs vs TB recently: Joe Burrow 15.2 pts (W1) · Deshaun Watson 19.7 pts (W2).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Justin Herbert carries the higher trade value — 792 against 534 (a 33% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Justin Herbert gets the most. Momentum: Justin Herbert -1332 and Kyler Murray -60 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Justin Herbert or Bryce Young?Justin Herbert or Matthew Stafford?Justin Herbert or Bo Nix?Kyler Murray or Matthew Stafford?Kyler Murray or Bo Nix?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.