Wondering who you should start this week — Juwan Johnson or Sam LaPorta? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Juwan Johnson — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.9 points. The matchup leans Juwan Johnson (ATL allow the 7th-most TE points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 4
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Juwan JohnsonSTART
vs ATL
11.8
7th · soft
16.1
980
healthy
Sam LaPorta
@ CAR
10.9
11th
11.5
1,550
healthy
TEs vs ATL recently: Pat Freiermuth 10.6 pts (W1) · Darren Waller 15.3 pts (W2) · Tucker Kraft 2.6 pts (W3).
TEs vs CAR recently: Cole Kmet 9.5 pts (W1) · Austin Hooper 2 pts (W2) · Harold Fannin 17.1 pts (W3).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.9 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Juwan Johnson has the higher floor (5.2) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Juwan Johnson has the higher ceiling (19.8) — the play if you need points.
Juwan Johnson is steady — about 21% less volatile week to week than a typical TE projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Sam LaPorta is steady — about 13% less volatile week to week than a typical TE projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Juwan Johnson faces ATL, 7th most generous to TEs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Sam LaPorta carries the higher trade value — 1,550 against 980 (a 37% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Sam LaPorta gets the most.
Momentum: Juwan Johnson +591 and Sam LaPorta -185 over the last 30 days.