Wondering who you should start this week — Luther Burden III or Zay Flowers? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Luther Burden III — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.7 points. The matchup leans Luther Burden III (TB allow the 26th-most WR points), but you can defend either call.
WRs vs JAX recently: Darius Cooper 13.1 pts (W5) · Jaylin Noel 16.7 pts (W6) · Josh Downs 8.3 pts (W8).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.7 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Zay Flowers has the higher floor (6.4) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Luther Burden III has the higher ceiling (25.8) — the play if you need points.
Luther Burden III is boom-or-bust — about 12% more volatile week to week than a typical WR projected here — wider range in both directions.
Zay Flowers is steady — about 12% less volatile week to week than a typical WR projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Luther Burden III faces TB, 26th most generous to WRs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Zay Flowers carries the higher trade value — 3,901 against 3,491 (a 11% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Zay Flowers gets the most.
Momentum: Luther Burden III +1716 and Zay Flowers -1291 over the last 30 days.