Wondering who you should start this week — Najee Harris or Tyjae Spears? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Najee Harris — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.3 points. The matchup leans Najee Harris (WAS allow the 26th-most RB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 5
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Najee HarrisSTART
@ WAS
6.8
26th · tough
2.9
11
healthy
Tyjae Spears
vs HOU
6.5
24th
3.7
38
healthy
RBs vs WAS recently: Javonte Williams 5 pts (W2) · George Holani 5.8 pts (W3) · Jonathan Taylor 21.7 pts (W4).
RBs vs HOU recently: Chase Brown 8.2 pts (W2) · Jonathan Taylor 7.2 pts (W3) · Javonte Williams 26.3 pts (W4).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.3 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Najee Harris has the higher floor (1.7) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Najee Harris has the higher ceiling (13.4) — the play if you need points.
Najee Harris is steady — about 11% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Tyjae Spears is steady — about 9% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Najee Harris faces WAS, 26th most generous to RBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Tyjae Spears carries the higher trade value — 38 against 11 (a 71% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Tyjae Spears gets the most.
Momentum: Najee Harris +6 and Tyjae Spears -198 over the last 30 days.