Wondering who you should start this week — Ollie Gordon or Woody Marks? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Woody Marks — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.7 points. The matchup leans Woody Marks (DAL allow the 8th-most RB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 4
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Ollie Gordon
@ MIN
8.0
29th · tough
7.6
519
healthy
Woody MarksSTART
vs DAL
8.7
8th · soft
7.5
512
healthy
RBs vs MIN recently: MarShawn Lloyd 3.7 pts (W1) · D'Andre Swift 7.9 pts (W2) · Bucky Irving 5.8 pts (W3).
RBs vs DAL recently: Cam Skattebo 14.1 pts (W1) · Rachaad White 8.3 pts (W2) · Derrick Henry 20.9 pts (W3).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.7 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Woody Marks has the higher floor (3.2) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Ollie Gordon has the higher ceiling (20.4) — the play if you need points.
Ollie Gordon is boom-or-bust — about 29% more volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — wider range in both directions.
Woody Marks is steady — about 13% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Ollie Gordon faces MIN, 29th most generous to RBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Ollie Gordon carries the higher trade value — 519 against 512 (a 1% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Ollie Gordon gets the most.
Momentum: Ollie Gordon +519 and Woody Marks +12 over the last 30 days.