Wondering who you should start this week — Aaron Jones Sr. or J.K. Dobbins? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start J.K. Dobbins — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.4 points. The matchup leans J.K. Dobbins (CAR allow the 2nd-most RB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 9
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Aaron Jones Sr.
vs BUF
9.6
6th · soft
9.4
923
healthy
J.K. DobbinsSTART
@ CAR
10.0
2nd · soft
7.7
448
healthy
RBs vs BUF recently: Kyren Williams 13.6 pts (W5) · Ashton Jeanty 11.8 pts (W6) · Derrick Henry 12 pts (W8).
Projections are 0.4 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Aaron Jones Sr. has the higher floor (4.5) — the safer start if you are favoured.
J.K. Dobbins has the higher ceiling (18.1) — the play if you need points.
Aaron Jones Sr. is steady — about 29% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
J.K. Dobbins is steady — about 21% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Aaron Jones Sr. faces BUF, 6th most generous to RBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Aaron Jones Sr. carries the higher trade value — 923 against 448 (a 51% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Aaron Jones Sr. gets the most.
Momentum: Aaron Jones Sr. -886 and J.K. Dobbins -193 over the last 30 days.