Baker Mayfield · Matthew Stafford · 2026 week 3

Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford?

Wondering who you should start this week — Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Matthew Stafford — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.5 points. The matchup leans Matthew Stafford (DEN allow the 22nd-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 3	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Baker Mayfield	vs MIN	15.5	20th	12.4	1,043	healthy
Matthew Stafford START	@ DEN	16.0	22nd	16.6	592	healthy

QBs vs MIN recently: Jordan Love 20.5 pts (W1) · Caleb Williams 8.7 pts (W2).

QBs vs DEN recently: Patrick Mahomes 22.7 pts (W1) · Trevor Lawrence 7.2 pts (W2).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Baker Mayfield carries the higher trade value — 1,043 against 592 (a 43% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Baker Mayfield gets the most. Momentum: Baker Mayfield +209 and Matthew Stafford -644 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Baker Mayfield or Tyler Shough?Baker Mayfield or Justin Herbert?Baker Mayfield or Bo Nix?Matthew Stafford or Jordan Love?Matthew Stafford or Bryce Young?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.