Baker Mayfield · Matthew Stafford · 2026 week 1

Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford?

Start Baker Mayfield — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.4 points. The matchup leans Baker Mayfield (CIN allow the 8th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Baker Mayfield START	@ CIN	19.8	8th · soft	15.8	572	healthy
Matthew Stafford	vs SF	18.4	15th	24.5	610	healthy

QBs vs CIN recently: Quinn Ewers 8.9 pts (W16) · Jacoby Brissett 16.5 pts (W17) · Shedeur Sanders 5 pts (W18).

QBs vs SF recently: Philip Rivers 18.1 pts (W16) · Caleb Williams 23 pts (W17) · Sam Darnold 8.8 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Matthew Stafford carries the higher trade value — 610 against 572 (a 6% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Matthew Stafford gets the most. Momentum: Baker Mayfield +177 and Matthew Stafford -19 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Baker Mayfield or Jared Goff?Baker Mayfield or Jordan Love?Matthew Stafford or Jaxson Dart?Matthew Stafford or Jared Goff?Matthew Stafford or Jordan Love?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.