Baker Mayfield · Tyler Shough · 2026 week 9

Baker Mayfield or Tyler Shough?

Wondering who you should start this week — Baker Mayfield or Tyler Shough? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Baker Mayfield — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.9 points. The matchup leans Baker Mayfield (CHI allow the 8th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 9	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Baker Mayfield START	@ CHI	16.2	8th · soft	6.8	131	healthy
Tyler Shough	vs CLE	15.3	25th · tough	14.5	586	healthy

QBs vs CHI recently: Michael Penix Jr. 23.1 pts (W6) · Drake Maye 28.4 pts (W7) · Sam Darnold 18.5 pts (W8).

QBs vs CLE recently: Tyler Huntley 13.4 pts (W6) · Cam Ward 6.7 pts (W7) · Aaron Rodgers 5.9 pts (W8).

🎓 The coach's read

Projections are 0.9 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Baker Mayfield has the higher floor (6.8) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Baker Mayfield has the higher ceiling (24.9) — the play if you need points.
Baker Mayfield faces CHI, 8th most generous to QBs.
Tyler Shough faces CLE, 25th most generous to QBs.

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Tyler Shough carries the higher trade value — 586 against 131 (a 78% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Tyler Shough gets the most. Momentum: Baker Mayfield +0 and Tyler Shough -765 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Baker Mayfield or Sam Darnold?Baker Mayfield or J.J. McCarthy?Baker Mayfield or Geno Smith?Tyler Shough or C.J. Stroud?Tyler Shough or Bo Nix?Tyler Shough or Matthew Stafford?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.