Bo Nix · Patrick Mahomes · 2026 week 1

Bo Nix or Patrick Mahomes?

Wondering who you should start this week — Bo Nix or Patrick Mahomes? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Bo Nix — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.1 points. The matchup leans Bo Nix (KC allow the 20th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Bo Nix START	@ KC	20.3	20th	15.7	1,426	healthy
Patrick Mahomes	vs DEN	19.2	25th · tough	17.6	1,558	Questionable

QBs vs KC recently: Cam Ward 18 pts (W16) · Bo Nix 20.5 pts (W17) · Aidan O'Connell 4.8 pts (W18).

QBs vs DEN recently: Trevor Lawrence 31.2 pts (W16) · Chris Oladokun 7.7 pts (W17) · Trey Lance 9.3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Patrick Mahomes carries the higher trade value — 1,558 against 1,426 (a 8% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Patrick Mahomes gets the most. Momentum: Bo Nix -195 and Patrick Mahomes -391 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Bo Nix or Trevor Lawrence?Bo Nix or Jaxson Dart?Patrick Mahomes or Jayden Daniels?Patrick Mahomes or Justin Herbert?Patrick Mahomes or Dak Prescott?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.