Bo Nix · Trevor Lawrence · 2026 week 1

Bo Nix or Trevor Lawrence?

Start Bo Nix — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.2 points. The matchup leans Bo Nix (KC allow the 20th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Bo Nix START @ KC 19.8 20th 15.7 1,192 healthy
Trevor Lawrence vs CLE 19.6 28th · tough 26.2 1,381 healthy

QBs vs KC recently: Cam Ward 18 pts (W16) · Bo Nix 20.5 pts (W17) · Aidan O'Connell 4.8 pts (W18).

QBs vs CLE recently: Josh Allen 6.9 pts (W16) · Aaron Rodgers 7.3 pts (W17) · Joe Burrow 22.1 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Trevor Lawrence carries the higher trade value — 1,381 against 1,192 (a 14% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Trevor Lawrence gets the most. Momentum: Bo Nix +143 and Trevor Lawrence +81 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

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Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.