Caleb Williams · Trevor Lawrence · 2026 week 1

Caleb Williams or Trevor Lawrence?

Wondering who you should start this week — Caleb Williams or Trevor Lawrence? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Caleb Williams — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.4 points. The matchup leans Caleb Williams (CAR allow the 26th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Caleb Williams START	@ CAR	21.5	26th · tough	20.5	2,544	healthy
Trevor Lawrence	vs CLE	20.1	28th · tough	26.2	1,538	healthy

QBs vs CAR recently: Baker Mayfield 13.7 pts (W16) · Sam Darnold 7.1 pts (W17) · Baker Mayfield 14.2 pts (W18).

QBs vs CLE recently: Josh Allen 6.9 pts (W16) · Aaron Rodgers 7.3 pts (W17) · Joe Burrow 22.1 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Caleb Williams carries the higher trade value — 2,544 against 1,538 (a 40% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Caleb Williams gets the most. Momentum: Caleb Williams -346 and Trevor Lawrence -603 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Caleb Williams or Joe Burrow?Caleb Williams or Drake Maye?Caleb Williams or Jalen Hurts?Trevor Lawrence or Justin Herbert?Trevor Lawrence or Dak Prescott?Trevor Lawrence or Patrick Mahomes?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.