Brock Purdy · Joe Burrow · 2026 week 9

Brock Purdy or Joe Burrow?

Wondering who you should start this week — Brock Purdy or Joe Burrow? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Brock Purdy — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.6 points. The matchup leans Brock Purdy (LV allow the 5th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 9	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Brock Purdy START	vs LV	21.8	5th · soft	16.2	2,372	healthy
Joe Burrow	@ ATL	21.2	21st	32	3,874	healthy

QBs vs LV recently: Josh Allen 18.3 pts (W6) · Matthew Stafford 18.5 pts (W7) · Geno Smith 19 pts (W8).

QBs vs ATL recently: Caleb Williams 16.5 pts (W6) · Brock Purdy 14 pts (W7) · Baker Mayfield 1.4 pts (W8).

🎓 The coach's read

Projections are 0.6 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Brock Purdy has the higher floor (10.4) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Joe Burrow is boom-or-bust — about 11% more volatile week to week than a typical QB projected here — wider range in both directions.
Brock Purdy faces LV, 5th most generous to QBs.
Joe Burrow faces ATL, 21st most generous to QBs.

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Joe Burrow carries the higher trade value — 3,874 against 2,372 (a 39% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Joe Burrow gets the most. Momentum: Brock Purdy -139 and Joe Burrow +1567 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Brock Purdy or Josh Allen?Brock Purdy or Drake Maye?Joe Burrow or Josh Allen?Joe Burrow or Drake Maye?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.