Joe Burrow · Josh Allen · 2026 week 1

Joe Burrow or Josh Allen?

Start Josh AllenJosh Allen projects 2.6 PPR points clear of Joe Burrow in week 1, drawing HOU — the 30th-ranked matchup for QBs. The numbers behind the call are below; overrule them with your eyes open.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Joe Burrow	vs TB	20.3	2nd · soft	23.8	3,454	healthy
Josh Allen START	@ HOU	22.9	30th · tough	18.2	6,253	healthy

QBs vs TB recently: Bryce Young 17.6 pts (W16) · Quinn Ewers 14.8 pts (W17) · Bryce Young 17.5 pts (W18).

QBs vs HOU recently: Geno Smith 15 pts (W16) · Justin Herbert 16.1 pts (W17) · Riley Leonard 21.6 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Josh Allen carries the higher trade value — 6,253 against 3,454 (a 45% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Josh Allen gets the most. Momentum: Joe Burrow +239 and Josh Allen +264 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

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Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.