Caleb Williams · Joe Burrow · 2026 week 1

Caleb Williams or Joe Burrow?

Start Caleb Williams — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.4 points. The matchup leans Caleb Williams (CAR allow the 26th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Caleb Williams START	@ CAR	20.7	26th · tough	20.5	2,428	healthy
Joe Burrow	vs TB	20.3	2nd · soft	23.8	3,454	healthy

QBs vs CAR recently: Baker Mayfield 13.7 pts (W16) · Sam Darnold 7.1 pts (W17) · Baker Mayfield 14.2 pts (W18).

QBs vs TB recently: Bryce Young 17.6 pts (W16) · Quinn Ewers 14.8 pts (W17) · Bryce Young 17.5 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Joe Burrow carries the higher trade value — 3,454 against 2,428 (a 30% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Joe Burrow gets the most. Momentum: Caleb Williams -171 and Joe Burrow +239 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Caleb Williams or Drake Maye?Caleb Williams or Jayden Daniels?Joe Burrow or Josh Allen?Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson?Joe Burrow or Drake Maye?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.