Wondering who you should start this week — Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Seth McGowan? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Seth McGowan — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.9 points. The matchup leans Seth McGowan (DAL allow the 3rd-most RB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 9
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
@ BAL
5.9
23rd
6.8
305
healthy
Seth McGowanSTART
vs DAL
6.8
3rd · soft
3.8
363
healthy
RBs vs BAL recently: Audric Estime 7.9 pts (W6) · Samaje Perine 7.6 pts (W7) · James Cook III 16.1 pts (W8).
RBs vs DAL recently: Pierre Strong Jr. 6.7 pts (W6) · Saquon Barkley 13.1 pts (W7) · Tyler Allgeier 31.1 pts (W8).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.9 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Seth McGowan has the higher floor (2) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Seth McGowan has the higher ceiling (13) — the play if you need points.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is steady — about 17% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Seth McGowan is steady — about 19% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces BAL, 23rd most generous to RBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Seth McGowan carries the higher trade value — 363 against 305 (a 16% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Seth McGowan gets the most.
Momentum: Chris Rodriguez Jr. +257 and Seth McGowan +363 over the last 30 days.