Wondering who you should start this week — Geno Smith or Kirk Cousins? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Geno Smith — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.3 points. The matchup leans Geno Smith (LV allow the 5th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 8
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Geno SmithSTART
vs LV
17.1
5th · soft
15.8
153
healthy
Kirk Cousins
@ NYJ
16.8
19th
17.9
404
healthy
QBs vs LV recently: Drake Maye 39.5 pts (W5) · Josh Allen 18.3 pts (W6) · Matthew Stafford 18.5 pts (W7).
QBs vs NYJ recently: Deshaun Watson 12.2 pts (W5) · Drake Maye 23.8 pts (W6) · Malik Willis 26 pts (W7).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.3 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Geno Smith has the higher floor (6) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Geno Smith has the higher ceiling (27.4) — the play if you need points.
Geno Smith is boom-or-bust — about 10% more volatile week to week than a typical QB projected here — wider range in both directions.
Kirk Cousins is boom-or-bust — about 12% more volatile week to week than a typical QB projected here — wider range in both directions.
Geno Smith faces LV, 5th most generous to QBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Kirk Cousins carries the higher trade value — 404 against 153 (a 62% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Kirk Cousins gets the most.
Momentum: Geno Smith +95 and Kirk Cousins +220 over the last 30 days.