Josh Downs · Michael Wilson · 2026 week 3

Josh Downs or Michael Wilson?

Wondering who you should start this week — Josh Downs or Michael Wilson? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Michael Wilson — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.1 points. The matchup leans Michael Wilson (SF allow the 23rd-most WR points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 3Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Josh Downs vs HOU 11.2 1st · soft 10 771 healthy
Michael Wilson START @ SF 12.3 23rd 7.2 928 healthy

WRs vs HOU recently: DJ Moore 16 pts (W1) · Ja'Marr Chase 19.5 pts (W2).

WRs vs SF recently: Puka Nacua 7.4 pts (W1) · Ryan Miller 13.7 pts (W2).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Michael Wilson carries the higher trade value — 928 against 771 (a 17% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Michael Wilson gets the most. Momentum: Josh Downs -194 and Michael Wilson -447 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More WR decisions

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.