Kaelon Black · Rico Dowdle · 2026 week 3

Kaelon Black or Rico Dowdle?

Wondering who you should start this week — Kaelon Black or Rico Dowdle? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Rico DowdleRico Dowdle projects 6.8 PPR points clear of Kaelon Black in week 3, drawing CIN — the 26th-ranked matchup for RBs. The numbers behind the call are below; overrule them with your eyes open.
PlayerWk 3Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Kaelon Black vs ARI 5.4 24th 5.3 616 healthy
Rico Dowdle START vs CIN 12.2 26th · tough 5.3 683 Questionable

RBs vs ARI recently: Omarion Hampton 8.3 pts (W1) · Emanuel Wilson 9.2 pts (W2).

RBs vs CIN recently: Bucky Irving 13.3 pts (W1) · Woody Marks 3.5 pts (W2).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Rico Dowdle carries the higher trade value — 683 against 616 (a 10% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Rico Dowdle gets the most. Momentum: Kaelon Black +574 and Rico Dowdle -727 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More RB decisions

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.