Baker Mayfield · Dak Prescott · 2026 week 1

Baker Mayfield or Dak Prescott?

Wondering who you should start this week — Baker Mayfield or Dak Prescott? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Dak Prescott — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.3 points. The matchup leans Dak Prescott (NYG allow the 11th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Baker Mayfield @ CIN 19.8 8th · soft 15.8 1,033 healthy
Dak Prescott START @ NYG 21.1 11th 14.2 2,021 healthy

QBs vs CIN recently: Quinn Ewers 8.9 pts (W16) · Jacoby Brissett 16.5 pts (W17) · Shedeur Sanders 5 pts (W18).

QBs vs NYG recently: J.J. McCarthy 9.3 pts (W16) · Geno Smith 9.1 pts (W17) · Joe Milton 6.2 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Dak Prescott carries the higher trade value — 2,021 against 1,033 (a 49% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Dak Prescott gets the most. Momentum: Baker Mayfield +162 and Dak Prescott +41 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.