Caleb Williams · Lamar Jackson · 2026 week 1

Caleb Williams or Lamar Jackson?

Wondering who you should start this week — Caleb Williams or Lamar Jackson? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Lamar Jackson — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.1 points. The matchup leans Lamar Jackson (IND allow the 13th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Caleb Williams	@ CAR	21.5	26th · tough	20.5	2,544	healthy
Lamar Jackson START	@ IND	22.6	13th	13.9	4,301	healthy

QBs vs CAR recently: Baker Mayfield 13.7 pts (W16) · Sam Darnold 7.1 pts (W17) · Baker Mayfield 14.2 pts (W18).

QBs vs IND recently: Brock Purdy 31.9 pts (W16) · Trevor Lawrence 24.1 pts (W17) · C.J. Stroud 17.3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Lamar Jackson carries the higher trade value — 4,301 against 2,544 (a 41% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Lamar Jackson gets the most. Momentum: Caleb Williams -346 and Lamar Jackson -110 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Caleb Williams or Joe Burrow?Caleb Williams or Drake Maye?Caleb Williams or Jalen Hurts?Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen?Lamar Jackson or Joe Burrow?Lamar Jackson or Drake Maye?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.