Joe Burrow · Lamar Jackson · 2026 week 1

Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson?

Start Lamar Jackson — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1 points. The matchup leans Lamar Jackson (IND allow the 13th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Joe Burrow vs TB 20.3 2nd · soft 23.8 3,454 healthy
Lamar Jackson START @ IND 21.3 13th 13.9 3,613 healthy

QBs vs TB recently: Bryce Young 17.6 pts (W16) · Quinn Ewers 14.8 pts (W17) · Bryce Young 17.5 pts (W18).

QBs vs IND recently: Brock Purdy 31.9 pts (W16) · Trevor Lawrence 24.1 pts (W17) · C.J. Stroud 17.3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Lamar Jackson carries the higher trade value — 3,613 against 3,454 (a 4% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Lamar Jackson gets the most. Momentum: Joe Burrow +239 and Lamar Jackson +63 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.