Caleb Williams · Patrick Mahomes · 2026 week 9

Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes?

Wondering who you should start this week — Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Patrick MahomesPatrick Mahomes projects 2.7 PPR points clear of Caleb Williams in week 9, drawing NYJ — the 16th-ranked matchup for QBs. The numbers behind the call are below; overrule them with your eyes open.

Player	Wk 9	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Caleb Williams	vs TB	18.5	29th · tough	17.5	2,035	healthy
Patrick Mahomes START	vs NYJ	21.2	16th	14.6	1,785	healthy

QBs vs TB recently: Aaron Rodgers 17 pts (W6) · Bryce Young 7.4 pts (W7) · Michael Penix Jr. 2.1 pts (W8).

QBs vs NYJ recently: Drake Maye 23.8 pts (W6) · Malik Willis 26 pts (W7) · Kirk Cousins 28.2 pts (W8).

🎓 The coach's read

Patrick Mahomes projects 2.7 points higher in PPR.
Caleb Williams faces TB, 29th most generous to QBs.
Patrick Mahomes faces NYJ, 16th most generous to QBs.

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Caleb Williams carries the higher trade value — 2,035 against 1,785 (a 12% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Caleb Williams gets the most. Momentum: Caleb Williams +328 and Patrick Mahomes -365 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

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All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.