Caleb Williams · Patrick Mahomes · 2026 week 1

Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes?

Start Caleb WilliamsCaleb Williams projects 3.3 PPR points clear of Patrick Mahomes in week 1, drawing CAR — the 26th-ranked matchup for QBs. The numbers behind the call are below; overrule them with your eyes open.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Caleb Williams START	@ CAR	20.7	26th · tough	20.5	2,428	healthy
Patrick Mahomes	vs DEN	17.4	25th · tough	17.6	2,313	Questionable

QBs vs CAR recently: Baker Mayfield 13.7 pts (W16) · Sam Darnold 7.1 pts (W17) · Baker Mayfield 14.2 pts (W18).

QBs vs DEN recently: Trevor Lawrence 31.2 pts (W16) · Chris Oladokun 7.7 pts (W17) · Trey Lance 9.3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Caleb Williams carries the higher trade value — 2,428 against 2,313 (a 5% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Caleb Williams gets the most. Momentum: Caleb Williams -171 and Patrick Mahomes -179 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

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Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.