Caleb Williams · Patrick Mahomes · 2026 week 2

Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes?

Wondering who you should start this week — Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Caleb Williams — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.9 points. The matchup leans Caleb Williams (MIN allow the 11th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 2Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Caleb Williams START vs MIN 18.6 11th 37.3 2,712 Out
Patrick Mahomes vs IND 17.7 7th · soft 22.7 1,790 healthy

QBs vs MIN recently: Jordan Love 20.5 pts (W1).

QBs vs IND recently: Lamar Jackson 25 pts (W1).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Caleb Williams carries the higher trade value — 2,712 against 1,790 (a 34% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Caleb Williams gets the most. Momentum: Caleb Williams -41 and Patrick Mahomes +18 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.