Patrick Mahomes · Trevor Lawrence · 2026 week 1

Patrick Mahomes or Trevor Lawrence?

Start Trevor LawrenceTrevor Lawrence projects 2.2 PPR points clear of Patrick Mahomes in week 1, drawing CLE — the 28th-ranked matchup for QBs. The numbers behind the call are below; overrule them with your eyes open.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Patrick Mahomes	vs DEN	17.4	25th · tough	17.6	2,313	Questionable
Trevor Lawrence START	vs CLE	19.6	28th · tough	26.2	1,381	healthy

QBs vs DEN recently: Trevor Lawrence 31.2 pts (W16) · Chris Oladokun 7.7 pts (W17) · Trey Lance 9.3 pts (W18).

QBs vs CLE recently: Josh Allen 6.9 pts (W16) · Aaron Rodgers 7.3 pts (W17) · Joe Burrow 22.1 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Patrick Mahomes carries the higher trade value — 2,313 against 1,381 (a 40% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Patrick Mahomes gets the most. Momentum: Patrick Mahomes -179 and Trevor Lawrence +81 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Patrick Mahomes or Joe Burrow?Patrick Mahomes or Jayden Daniels?Patrick Mahomes or Caleb Williams?Trevor Lawrence or Justin Herbert?Trevor Lawrence or Jalen Hurts?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.