Jalen Hurts · Joe Burrow · 2026 week 1

Jalen Hurts or Joe Burrow?

Wondering who you should start this week — Jalen Hurts or Joe Burrow? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Joe Burrow — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.5 points. The matchup leans Joe Burrow (TB allow the 2nd-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Jalen Hurts vs WAS 21.9 3rd · soft 17.1 2,575 healthy
Joe Burrow START vs TB 22.4 2nd · soft 23.8 3,162 healthy

QBs vs WAS recently: Jalen Hurts 19.4 pts (W16) · Dak Prescott 22.7 pts (W17) · Tanner McKee 12.9 pts (W18).

QBs vs TB recently: Bryce Young 17.6 pts (W16) · Quinn Ewers 14.8 pts (W17) · Bryce Young 17.5 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Joe Burrow carries the higher trade value — 3,162 against 2,575 (a 19% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Joe Burrow gets the most. Momentum: Jalen Hurts +45 and Joe Burrow -694 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.