Joe Burrow · Justin Herbert · 2026 week 1

Joe Burrow or Justin Herbert?

Start Joe Burrow — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.1 points. The matchup leans Joe Burrow (TB allow the 2nd-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Joe Burrow START vs TB 20.3 2nd · soft 23.8 3,414 healthy
Justin Herbert vs ARI 19.2 14th 19.2 2,331 healthy

QBs vs TB recently: Bryce Young 17.6 pts (W16) · Quinn Ewers 14.8 pts (W17) · Bryce Young 17.5 pts (W18).

QBs vs ARI recently: Kirk Cousins 18.6 pts (W16) · Joe Burrow 20.4 pts (W17) · Matthew Stafford 26.7 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Joe Burrow carries the higher trade value — 3,414 against 2,331 (a 32% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Joe Burrow gets the most. Momentum: Joe Burrow +205 and Justin Herbert +170 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Joe Burrow or Josh Allen?Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson?Joe Burrow or Drake Maye?Justin Herbert or Jayden Daniels?Justin Herbert or Caleb Williams?
Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.