Justin Herbert · Matthew Stafford · 2026 week 1

Justin Herbert or Matthew Stafford?

Wondering who you should start this week — Justin Herbert or Matthew Stafford? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Justin Herbert — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.8 points. The matchup leans Justin Herbert (ARI allow the 14th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Justin Herbert START	vs ARI	20.1	14th	19.2	2,268	healthy
Matthew Stafford	vs SF	19.3	15th	24.5	1,140	healthy

QBs vs ARI recently: Kirk Cousins 18.6 pts (W16) · Joe Burrow 20.4 pts (W17) · Matthew Stafford 26.7 pts (W18).

QBs vs SF recently: Philip Rivers 18.1 pts (W16) · Caleb Williams 23 pts (W17) · Sam Darnold 8.8 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Justin Herbert carries the higher trade value — 2,268 against 1,140 (a 50% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Justin Herbert gets the most. Momentum: Justin Herbert -38 and Matthew Stafford -471 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Justin Herbert or Jalen Hurts?Justin Herbert or Caleb Williams?Justin Herbert or Jayden Daniels?Matthew Stafford or Trevor Lawrence?Matthew Stafford or Jaxson Dart?Matthew Stafford or Bo Nix?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.