Kyler Murray · Patrick Mahomes · 2026 week 1

Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes?

Wondering who you should start this week — Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Kyler Murray — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.2 points. The matchup leans Kyler Murray (GB allow the 21st-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Kyler Murray START	vs GB	19.4	21st	15.8	614	healthy
Patrick Mahomes	vs DEN	19.2	25th · tough	17.6	1,558	Questionable

QBs vs GB recently: Caleb Williams 21 pts (W16) · Tyler Huntley 14.3 pts (W17) · J.J. McCarthy 8 pts (W18).

QBs vs DEN recently: Trevor Lawrence 31.2 pts (W16) · Chris Oladokun 7.7 pts (W17) · Trey Lance 9.3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Patrick Mahomes carries the higher trade value — 1,558 against 614 (a 61% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Patrick Mahomes gets the most. Momentum: Kyler Murray +38 and Patrick Mahomes -391 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Kyler Murray or Baker Mayfield?Kyler Murray or Jared Goff?Kyler Murray or Jordan Love?Patrick Mahomes or Jayden Daniels?Patrick Mahomes or Justin Herbert?Patrick Mahomes or Dak Prescott?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.