Matthew Stafford · Trevor Lawrence · 2026 week 1

Matthew Stafford or Trevor Lawrence?

Wondering who you should start this week — Matthew Stafford or Trevor Lawrence? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Trevor Lawrence — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.8 points. The matchup leans Trevor Lawrence (CLE allow the 28th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Matthew Stafford	vs SF	19.3	15th	24.5	1,140	healthy
Trevor Lawrence START	vs CLE	20.1	28th · tough	26.2	1,538	healthy

QBs vs SF recently: Philip Rivers 18.1 pts (W16) · Caleb Williams 23 pts (W17) · Sam Darnold 8.8 pts (W18).

QBs vs CLE recently: Josh Allen 6.9 pts (W16) · Aaron Rodgers 7.3 pts (W17) · Joe Burrow 22.1 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Trevor Lawrence carries the higher trade value — 1,538 against 1,140 (a 26% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Trevor Lawrence gets the most. Momentum: Matthew Stafford -471 and Trevor Lawrence -603 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Matthew Stafford or Jaxson Dart?Matthew Stafford or Bo Nix?Trevor Lawrence or Justin Herbert?Trevor Lawrence or Dak Prescott?Trevor Lawrence or Patrick Mahomes?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.