Joe Burrow · Patrick Mahomes · 2026 week 1

Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes?

Start Joe BurrowJoe Burrow projects 2.9 PPR points clear of Patrick Mahomes in week 1, drawing TB — the 2nd-ranked matchup for QBs. The numbers behind the call are below; overrule them with your eyes open.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Joe Burrow START	vs TB	20.3	2nd · soft	23.8	3,454	healthy
Patrick Mahomes	vs DEN	17.4	25th · tough	17.6	2,313	Questionable

QBs vs TB recently: Bryce Young 17.6 pts (W16) · Quinn Ewers 14.8 pts (W17) · Bryce Young 17.5 pts (W18).

QBs vs DEN recently: Trevor Lawrence 31.2 pts (W16) · Chris Oladokun 7.7 pts (W17) · Trey Lance 9.3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Joe Burrow carries the higher trade value — 3,454 against 2,313 (a 33% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Joe Burrow gets the most. Momentum: Joe Burrow +239 and Patrick Mahomes -179 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Joe Burrow or Josh Allen?Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson?Joe Burrow or Drake Maye?Patrick Mahomes or Jayden Daniels?Patrick Mahomes or Caleb Williams?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.