Joe Burrow · Patrick Mahomes · 2026 week 2

Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes?

Wondering who you should start this week — Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Joe Burrow — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.1 points. The matchup leans Joe Burrow (HOU allow the 2nd-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 2Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Joe Burrow START @ HOU 17.8 2nd · soft 15.2 2,361 healthy
Patrick Mahomes vs IND 17.7 7th · soft 22.7 1,790 healthy

QBs vs HOU recently: Josh Allen 35.7 pts (W1).

QBs vs IND recently: Lamar Jackson 25 pts (W1).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Joe Burrow carries the higher trade value — 2,361 against 1,790 (a 24% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Joe Burrow gets the most. Momentum: Joe Burrow -951 and Patrick Mahomes +18 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.